As the 2027 general elections loom on the horizon, the political landscape in Lagos State is buzzing with anticipation, as the race for the All Progressives Congress (APC) governorship ticket intensifies. With the state being Nigeria’s economic powerhouse, the battle for the APC nomination is shaping up to be a high-stakes showdown, featuring a mix of political heavyweights, technocrats, and returning players. Alliances are being forged, loyalties tested, and strategic maneuvers are in full swing as contenders vie for the coveted ticket.
The Contenders
The APC’s primary race is drawing a crowded field of aspirants, each bringing a unique blend of experience, influence, and ambition to the table. Here’s a look at the leading candidates:
1. Akinwunmi Ambode
The former governor (2015–2019) is eyeing a dramatic comeback after his fallout with the APC establishment in 2019, which cost him a second term. Ambode’s tenure was marked by significant infrastructure projects like the Epe-Lekki corridor development, but his strained relationship with party godfathers remains a sticking point. Supporters argue his experience and track record make him a strong contender, while critics question whether he can mend fences with the party’s power brokers.
2. Dr. Kadri Hamzat
The current deputy governor under Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu, Hamzat is seen as a continuity candidate. A technocrat with a reputation for competence, his loyalty to the current administration and deep ties within the APC machinery could bolster his chances. However, some wonder if he can step out of Sanwo-Olu’s shadow to claim the top spot.
3. Rt. Hon. Femi Gbajabiamila
As the former Speaker of the House of Representatives and current Chief of Staff to President Bola Tinubu, Gbajabiamila wields significant federal influence. His political pedigree and proximity to the presidency make him a formidable contender. Yet, his long tenure in federal politics raises questions about his grassroots appeal in Lagos, where local dynamics often reign supreme.
4. Senator Tokunbo Abiru
The serving senator for Lagos East has maintained a low profile but is respected for his quiet efficiency and financial expertise. A former banking executive, Abiru’s appeal lies in his technocratic credentials and growing influence in the Senate. However, his reserved demeanor may be a double-edged sword in a race that demands charisma and visibility.
5. Hakeem Muri-Okunola
The former Head of Service for Lagos State and current Private Secretary to President Tinubu, Muri-Okunola is a technocrat with deep ties to the state’s political elite. His administrative experience and loyalty to the APC establishment position him as a dark horse, but his lack of elective office experience could be a hurdle.
6. Tayo Akinmade Ayinde
The current Chief of Staff to Governor Sanwo-Olu, Ayinde is a loyalist with a reputation for behind-the-scenes influence. His proximity to the current administration and understanding of Lagos’ political machinery make him a strong contender, though he may face challenges in building a broader public profile.
7. Dr. Abdul-Azeez Adediran (Jandor)
A wildcard in the race, Jandor, the former Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) governorship candidate in 2023, recently defected back to the APC. His return has sparked mixed reactions, with some viewing it as a strategic move to position himself for 2027, while others question his loyalty and acceptance within the party’s ranks.
8. Seyi Tinubu
The son of President Bola Tinubu, Seyi Tinubu’s inclusion in the race has sparked heated debates within and outside the APC. As a prominent entrepreneur and youth mobilizer, he carries the weight of a powerful political dynasty. While critics accuse him of riding on his father’s coattails, supporters argue that he represents a new generation of leadership with modern ideas and strong grassroots appeal among young Lagosians. His candidacy, if confirmed, could completely reshape the race.
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9. Rt. Hon. Mudashiru Obasa
The Speaker of the Lagos State House of Assembly is another influential figure reportedly eyeing the governorship seat. Obasa has maintained a strong grip on the legislative arm and enjoys support from key local stakeholders. Known for his legislative agility and loyalty to the party, his deep-rooted connections in Lagos politics make him a serious contender. However, his ambitions may face resistance from rival blocs within the APC power structure.
The Stakes
The APC primaries in Lagos are more than just a contest for the governorship ticket; they are a battleground for power blocs, godfatherism, and grassroots influence. Lagos, as Nigeria’s economic nerve center, carries immense political weight, and the APC’s dominance in the state since 1999 makes its ticket a near-guarantee for the governorship. However, internal rivalries, competing interests, and the shadow of influential figures like President Tinubu loom large.
The primaries will test the delicate balance between performance records and political loyalty. Contenders must navigate the expectations of party leaders, grassroots voters, and Lagos’ diverse electorate, which demands both development and accessibility. Issues like infrastructure, traffic management, housing, and economic opportunities are likely to dominate campaign rhetoric.
As the race heats up, political analysts predict a fierce contest marked by intense lobbying, strategic endorsements, and perhaps a few surprises. The influence of “godfathers” within the APC, particularly President Tinubu, will likely play a pivotal role in shaping the outcome. Meanwhile, Lagosians are watching closely, eager to see who will emerge as the party’s flagbearer.
The APC’s primary promises to be a spectacle of ambition, strategy, and power play. With less than two years to go, the contenders are already mobilizing, and the battle lines are being drawn.
Who should fly the APC flag in 2027? For Lagosians, the stage is set, and the choice will mark a significant step into redefining the stake of different political divides in Lagos.
